{"id":26452,"date":"2026-05-20T11:53:11","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T11:53:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/2026\/05\/20\/ormuziui-grasinant-blokada-saudo-arabija-naftos-gavyba-sumazino-iki-zemiausio-lygio-nuo-1990-metu\/"},"modified":"2026-05-20T11:53:11","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T11:53:11","slug":"ormuziui-grasinant-blokada-saudo-arabija-naftos-gavyba-sumazino-iki-zemiausio-lygio-nuo-1990-metu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/2026\/05\/20\/ormuziui-grasinant-blokada-saudo-arabija-naftos-gavyba-sumazino-iki-zemiausio-lygio-nuo-1990-metu\/","title":{"rendered":"Ormuziui grasinant blokada: Saudo Arabija naftos gavyb\u0105 suma\u017eino iki \u017eemiausio lygio nuo 1990 met\u0173"},"content":{"rendered":"

Auganti \u012ftampa Artimuosiuose Rytuose vis labiau persiduoda naftos rinkai, o svarbiausiu rizikos ta\u0161ku i\u0161lieka Ormuzo s\u0105siauris. Per \u0161\u012f j\u016brin\u012f keli\u0105 kasdien gabenama reik\u0161minga pasaulin\u0117s naftos ir naftos produkt\u0173 dalis, tod\u0117l bet koks sutrikimas i\u0161 karto kelia kain\u0173 ir tiekimo neapibr\u0117\u017etum\u0105.<\/p>\n

Naujausiais OPEC duomenimis, Saudo Arabijos naftos gavyba baland\u012f smuko iki 6,316 mln. bareli\u0173 per dien\u0105. Tai \u017eemiausias lygis per ma\u017edaug 36 metus ir did\u017eiausias kritimas nuo laikotarpio po Irako invazijos \u012f Kuveit\u0105 1990 metais.<\/p>\n

Palyginti su vasariu, Saudo Arabijos gavyba suma\u017e\u0117jo apie 42 proc., arba ma\u017edaug 651 000 bareli\u0173 per dien\u0105. Toks kritimas rinkose vertinamas kaip signalas, kad tiekimo grandin\u0117s regione tampa jautresn\u0117s ne tik kain\u0173, bet ir fizin\u0117s logistikos rizikai.<\/p>\n

Tuo pat metu Rijadas nurod\u0117, kad real\u016bs tiekimai rinkai, neskai\u010diuojant perve\u017eim\u0173 \u012f saugyklas, buvo didesni nei gavyba ir siek\u0117 6,879 mln. bareli\u0173 per dien\u0105. Tai leid\u017eia manyti, kad dalis tiekimo gal\u0117jo b\u016bti palaikoma i\u0161 sukaupt\u0173 atsarg\u0173 ar lanks\u010diau valdant srautus per terminalus.<\/p>\n

Kaip apeinamas Ormuzo s\u0105siauris?<\/h2>\n

Saudo Arabija turi alternatyvi\u0173 eksporto mar\u0161rut\u0173, kurie leid\u017eia dal\u012f sraut\u0173 nukreipti \u012f Raudon\u0105j\u0105 j\u016br\u0105 ir taip suma\u017einti priklausomyb\u0119 nuo Ormuzo s\u0105siaurio. B\u016btent \u0161i infrastrukt\u016bra laikoma vienu svarbiausi\u0173 \u0161alies prana\u0161um\u0173, kai regione kyla gr\u0117smi\u0173 laivybai.<\/p>\n

Vis d\u0117lto alternatyv\u016bs keliai n\u0117ra neriboti, o j\u0173 pralaidumas ir saugumas priklauso nuo situacijos visame regione. D\u0117l to net ir turint ap\u0117jimo galimybi\u0173, rinkai svarbiausia i\u0161lieka klausimas, ar tiekimas gali b\u016bti palaikomas stabilus ilgesn\u012f laik\u0105.<\/p>\n

Sm\u016bgis OPEC prognoz\u0117ms<\/h2>\n

\u012etempta situacija veikia ne tik atskir\u0173 \u0161ali\u0173 gavyb\u0105, bet ir paklausos prognozes. OPEC koregavo pasaulinio naftos paklausos augimo 2026 metais prognoz\u0119 \u017eemyn \u2013 nuo 1,4 mln. iki 1,2 mln. bareli\u0173 per dien\u0105.<\/p>\n

Atskirai Tarptautin\u0117 energetikos agent\u016bra savo m\u0117nesin\u0117je ap\u017evalgoje nurod\u0117, kad pasaulin\u0117 paklausa \u0161iemet gali suma\u017e\u0117ti apie 420 000 bareli\u0173 per dien\u0105. Tai b\u016bt\u0173 did\u017eiausias nuosmukis nuo 2020 met\u0173, kai paklaus\u0105 smarkiai numu\u0161\u0117 Covid-19 pandemija.<\/p>\n

Ekspertai pa\u017eymi, kad tolesnis gavybos ribojim\u0173 koordinavimas gali tapti sud\u0117tingesnis d\u0117l vidini\u0173 OPEC ir platesnio OPEC+ aljanso interes\u0173 skirtum\u0173. Kuo daugiau neapibr\u0117\u017etumo d\u0117l transporto mar\u0161rut\u0173 ir paklausos, tuo labiau auga rizika, kad naftos kainos taps dar jautresn\u0117s naujienoms i\u0161 regiono.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

OPEC duomenys rodo, kad Saudo Arabijos naftos gavyba baland\u012f smuko iki \u017eemiausio lygio nuo 1990 met\u0173, did\u0117jant rizikai d\u0117l Ormuzo s\u0105siaurio.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[102,1096,648,3093,1401,3094,3815],"miestas":[],"class_list":["post-26452","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-technologijos","tag-dirbtinis-intelektas","tag-naftos-gavyba","tag-naftos-kainos","tag-opec","tag-ormuzo-sasiauris","tag-saudo-arabija","tag-tarptautine-energetikos-agentura"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26452","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26452"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26452\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26452"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26452"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26452"},{"taxonomy":"miestas","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/miestas?post=26452"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}