Tarptautin\u0117 energetikos agent\u016bra (TEA) \u012fsp\u0117ja, kad pasaulin\u0117 naftos rinka art\u0117jant vasarai gali tapti ypa\u010d \u012ftempta, jei neatsl\u016bgs \u012ftampa Artimuosiuose Rytuose. Agent\u016bros vadovas Fatihas Birolis teigia, kad esant dabartiniams trikd\u017eiams tiekimo grandin\u0117se rinka gali atsidurti vadinamojoje raudonoje zonoje.<\/p>\n
\u201eGalime patekti \u012f raudon\u0105 zon\u0105 liep\u0105 arba rugpj\u016bt\u012f, jei nepamatysime ai\u0161kaus situacijos pager\u0117jimo\u201c, \u2013 sak\u0117 Fatihas Birolis.<\/p>\n
TEA vertinimu, komerci\u0161kai prieinamos naftos atsargos ma\u017e\u0117ja grei\u010diau nei \u012fprastai ir kai kuriais scenarijais j\u0173 gali pakakti tik kelioms savait\u0117ms. Tai didina kain\u0173 \u0161uoli\u0173 rizik\u0105, nes rinkai tampa sunkiau sugerti net ir trumpalaikius tiekimo sutrikimus.<\/p>\n
Agent\u016bra atkreipia d\u0117mes\u012f, kad dal\u012f \u012ftampos anks\u010diau amortizavo koordinuotas strategini\u0173 rezerv\u0173 naudojimas. Ta\u010diau tokia priemon\u0117 n\u0117ra neribota: strateginiai rezervai skirti ekstremalioms situacijoms, o j\u0173 nuoseklus naudojimas ma\u017eina \u201epagalv\u0119\u201c ateities kriz\u0117ms.<\/p>\n
Ypatingas d\u0117mesys skiriamas tiekimo mar\u0161rutams, kurie priklauso nuo geopolitin\u0117s situacijos, \u012fskaitant transport\u0105 per Ormuzo s\u0105siaur\u012f. Bet kokie papildomi trikd\u017eiai \u0161iame regione, pasak TEA, gali greitai persiduoti \u012f didmenines kainas, o v\u0117liau ir \u012f degal\u0173 kainas vartotojams.<\/p>\n
Rinkos dalyviai paprastai jautriausiai reaguoja \u012f signalus apie atsarg\u0173 kritim\u0105 ir ribotas galimybes greitai padidinti gavyb\u0105. D\u0117l to did\u0117ja kain\u0173 nepastovumas: net ir nepasitvirtinus blogiausiam scenarijui, vien rizikos priedas gali kelti naftos ir degal\u0173 kainas.<\/p>\n
Analitikai pa\u017eymi, kad vasar\u0105 paklausa tradici\u0161kai i\u0161auga d\u0117l aktyvesni\u0173 kelioni\u0173 ir logistikos apim\u010di\u0173, tod\u0117l \u012ftampa pasi\u016blos pus\u0117je tampa dar labiau matoma. Jei konfliktas regione u\u017esit\u0119st\u0173, o atsargos ir toliau ma\u017e\u0117t\u0173, kain\u0173 spaudimas gali i\u0161likti ilgiau nei vien\u0105 sezon\u0105.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Tarptautin\u0117 energetikos agent\u016bra persp\u0117ja, kad d\u0117l \u012ftampos Artimuosiuose Rytuose vasar\u0105 naftos rinka gali priart\u0117ti prie raudonos zonos.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":27585,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[95],"tags":[2447,495,2517,2755,1401,3815],"miestas":[],"class_list":["post-27584","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomika","tag-artimieji-rytai","tag-degalu-kainos","tag-nafta","tag-naftos-atsargos","tag-ormuzo-sasiauris","tag-tarptautine-energetikos-agentura"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27584","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27584"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27584\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/27585"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27584"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27584"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27584"},{"taxonomy":"miestas","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/miestas?post=27584"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}