{"id":59780,"date":"2026-10-05T11:52:32","date_gmt":"2026-10-05T11:52:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/2026\/10\/05\/ar-imanoma-kuras-po-120-euro-uz-litra-skaiciavimai-rodo-kas-turetu-nutikti-didmenineje-rinkoje\/"},"modified":"2026-10-05T11:52:32","modified_gmt":"2026-10-05T11:52:32","slug":"ar-imanoma-kuras-po-120-euro-uz-litra-skaiciavimai-rodo-kas-turetu-nutikti-didmenineje-rinkoje","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/2026\/10\/05\/ar-imanoma-kuras-po-120-euro-uz-litra-skaiciavimai-rodo-kas-turetu-nutikti-didmenineje-rinkoje\/","title":{"rendered":"Ar \u012fmanoma kuras po 1,20 euro u\u017e litr\u0105? Skai\u010diavimai rodo, kas tur\u0117t\u0173 nutikti didmenin\u0117je rinkoje"},"content":{"rendered":"

Diskusijos apie kur\u0105 po 1,20 euro u\u017e litr\u0105 v\u0117l gr\u012f\u017eta \u012f vie\u0161um\u0105, ta\u010diau tokiai kainai neu\u017etenka vien politini\u0173 pa\u017ead\u0173 ar degalini\u0173 sprendim\u0173. Galutin\u0119 kain\u0105 lemia \u017ealiavin\u0117s naftos kaina, degal\u0173 didmenin\u0117 rinka, mokes\u010diai ir mar\u017eos, o svarbiausias kintamasis da\u017eniausiai yra b\u016btent didmena.<\/p>\n

Pagal Lenkijoje taikom\u0105 maksimalios degal\u0173 kainos mechanik\u0105, degalin\u0117se galutin\u0117 suma siejama su didmenine kaina, prie jos pridedant leistin\u0105 mar\u017e\u0105 ir prid\u0117tin\u0117s vert\u0117s mokest\u012f. Skai\u010diavim\u0173 logika paprasta: norint matyti 1,20 euro kain\u0105 \u0161vieslent\u0117je, pirmiausia reikalingas ry\u0161kus kritimas didmenin\u0117je grandyje.<\/p>\n

Kokia didmenin\u0117 kaina reikalinga?<\/h2>\n

Originaliame tekste minima riba yra 5,19 zloto u\u017e litr\u0105, kuri\u0105, pagal pateikt\u0105 skai\u010diavimo model\u012f, b\u016bt\u0173 galima pasiekti tada, jei didmenin\u0117 benzino ir dyzelino kaina krist\u0173 ma\u017edaug iki 4,51 zloto u\u017e litr\u0105. Konvertuojant \u012f eurus, tai atitinka apie 1,20 euro galutin\u0119 kain\u0105 ir apie 1,05 euro didmenin\u0119 kain\u0105 u\u017e litr\u0105.<\/p>\n

Tam, kad didmenin\u0117 kaina pasiekt\u0173 tok\u012f lyg\u012f, benzinas tur\u0117t\u0173 pigti ma\u017edaug 1,47 zloto u\u017e litr\u0105, o dyzelinas apie 2,43 zloto u\u017e litr\u0105. Eurais tai yra apytikriai 0,34 euro benzino ir 0,56 euro dyzelino kritimas didmenoje, lyginant su tekste nurodytomis tuo metu galiojusiomis kainomis.<\/p>\n

Kod\u0117l tai \u0161iandien ma\u017eai tik\u0117tina?<\/h2>\n

Tekste pabr\u0117\u017eiama, kad naftos ir degal\u0173 rinkai didel\u0119 \u012ftak\u0105 daro geopolitin\u0117 \u012ftampa Artimuosiuose Rytuose, kuri tradici\u0161kai didina kain\u0173 svyravimus ir rizikos premij\u0105. Kai rinka vertina galimus tiekimo trikd\u017eius, didmenin\u0117s kainos paprastai krenta l\u0117\u010diau arba i\u0161vis nekrenta net ir tuomet, kai trumpam atsl\u016bgsta paklausa.<\/p>\n

Be to, papildomi veiksniai, tokie kaip atakos prie\u0161 perdirbimo infrastrukt\u016br\u0105 ar logistikos grandini\u0173 sutrikimai, tiesiogiai ma\u017eina degal\u0173 pasi\u016bl\u0105 regione. Tokiais atvejais brangti gali ne tik \u017ealiavin\u0117 nafta, bet ir perdirbti produktai, o tai ypa\u010d jau\u010diama dyzelino segmente.<\/p>\n

\u201ePra\u0161au suma\u017einti kuro kain\u0105 iki 5,19 zloto\u201c, \u2013 sak\u0117 Karolis Navrockis, kreipdamasis \u012f premjer\u0105 Donald\u0105 Tusk\u0105.<\/p>\n

Praktikoje net ir tada, kai kurioje nors degalin\u0117je trumpam pasirodo ypa\u010d \u017eema kaina, ji da\u017enai b\u016bna lokali ir susijusi su konkurencine kova, pasienio specifika ar trumpalaik\u0117mis akcijomis. Visos rinkos mastu tvariai i\u0161laikyti apie 1,20 euro u\u017e litr\u0105 lyg\u012f b\u016bt\u0173 \u012fmanoma tik esant gerokai \u017eemesnei didmenai ir ramesnei situacijai naftos rinkoje.<\/p>\n

Kol didmenin\u0117s benzino ir dyzelino kainos i\u0161lieka auk\u0161tesn\u0117s nei ma\u017edaug 1,05 euro u\u017e litr\u0105, o geopolitin\u0117 rizika pasaulyje nema\u017e\u0117ja, scenarijus su 1,20 euro kaina degalin\u0117se i\u0161lieka labiau teorinis nei realiai pasiekiamas artimiausiu metu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kuras po 1,20 euro u\u017e litr\u0105 \u012fmanomas tik smarkiai kritus didmenin\u0117ms kainoms, ta\u010diau geopolitin\u0117 \u012ftampa ir ribota pasi\u016bla tai daro ma\u017eai tik\u0117tin\u0105.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[496,495,12176,102,497,3998,2462],"miestas":[],"class_list":["post-59780","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-technologijos","tag-benzinas","tag-degalu-kainos","tag-didmenines-kainos","tag-dirbtinis-intelektas","tag-dyzelinas","tag-naftos-rinka","tag-pvm"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59780","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=59780"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59780\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=59780"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=59780"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=59780"},{"taxonomy":"miestas","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/miestas?post=59780"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}