{"id":60337,"date":"2026-10-07T13:33:19","date_gmt":"2026-10-07T13:33:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/2026\/10\/07\/tvf-siuncia-aisku-signala-taupymas-grizta-o-pasaulio-skola-arteja-prie-100-proc-bvp\/"},"modified":"2026-10-07T13:33:19","modified_gmt":"2026-10-07T13:33:19","slug":"tvf-siuncia-aisku-signala-taupymas-grizta-o-pasaulio-skola-arteja-prie-100-proc-bvp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/2026\/10\/07\/tvf-siuncia-aisku-signala-taupymas-grizta-o-pasaulio-skola-arteja-prie-100-proc-bvp\/","title":{"rendered":"TVF siun\u010dia ai\u0161k\u0173 signal\u0105: taupymas gr\u012f\u017eta, o pasaulio skola art\u0117ja prie 100 proc. BVP"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Tarptautinio valiutos fondo (TVF) vadov\u0117 Kristalina Georgieva persp\u0117ja, kad laikai, kai valstyb\u0117s gal\u0117jo skol\u0105 suvaldyti remdamosi pigiais pinigais ir spartesniu augimu, baigiasi. Pasak jos, vis daugiau \u0161ali\u0173 tur\u0117s gr\u012f\u017eti prie grie\u017etesn\u0117s biud\u017eeto drausm\u0117s ir ai\u0161ki\u0173 vidutin\u0117s trukm\u0117s plan\u0173.<\/p>\n<p>Georgieva kalb\u0117jo Singap\u016bre, art\u0117jant TVF ir Pasaulio banko metiniams susitikimams Bankoke. Ji pabr\u0117\u017e\u0117, kad vien didesni augimo tempai nebebus patikimas b\u016bdas spr\u0119sti vie\u0161\u0173j\u0173 finans\u0173 problemas, tod\u0117l reik\u0117s ma\u017einti deficit\u0105 ir atsargiau planuoti i\u0161laidas.<\/p>\n<h2>Skola v\u0117l tampa sistemine rizika<\/h2>\n<p>TVF vadov\u0117 \u012fsp\u0117jo, kad pasaulio vie\u0161oji skola priart\u0117jo prie lygi\u0173, matyt\u0173 po Antrojo pasaulinio karo, o iki 2030 met\u0173 gali vir\u0161yti 100 proc. pasaulio bendrojo vidaus produkto. Did\u017eiausiais skolos augintojais ji \u012fvardijo i\u0161sivys\u010diusias ekonomikas, kuriose, anot jos, tr\u016bksta ry\u017eting\u0173 sprendim\u0173.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eNematyti lemiam\u0173 veiksm\u0173 didel\u0119 skol\u0105 turin\u010diose pa\u017eangiose ekonomikose, kur dabar labiausiai reikia patikim\u0173 vidutin\u0117s trukm\u0117s fiskalinio konsolidavimo plan\u0173\u201c, \u2013 sak\u0117 Kristalina Georgieva.<\/p>\n<p>Ji atkreip\u0117 d\u0117mes\u012f, kad skolinimosi kaina jau kyla: 10 met\u0173 trukm\u0117s JAV, Vokietijos ir Japonijos vyriausybi\u0173 obligacij\u0173 pajamingumai pasiek\u0117 auk\u0161\u010diausius lygius per ilg\u0105 laik\u0105. Tai rei\u0161kia didesnes pal\u016bkan\u0173 i\u0161laidas biud\u017eetams ir ma\u017eesn\u0119 erdv\u0119 naujoms i\u0161laidoms.<\/p>\n<h2>Pal\u016bkanos, energija ir DI bumas<\/h2>\n<p>Kalb\u0117dama apie pinig\u0173 politik\u0105, TVF vadov\u0117 teigiamai \u012fvertino pastaruosius sprendimus didinti bazines pal\u016bkan\u0173 normas ir ragino daugelyje \u0161ali\u0173 i\u0161laikyti atsargiai grie\u017etesn\u012f kurs\u0105. Jos vertinimu, infliacijos rizikos dar n\u0117ra i\u0161nykusios, o per anksti atsipalaiduoti b\u016bt\u0173 pavojinga.<\/p>\n<p>Georgieva akcentavo ir du prie\u0161ingomis kryptimis veikian\u010dius sm\u016bgius pasaulio ekonomikai: neigiam\u0105 energijos pasi\u016blos \u0161ok\u0105 d\u0117l karo su Iranu bei teigiam\u0105 paklausos impuls\u0105, kur\u012f kuria investicij\u0173 banga \u012f dirbtin\u012f intelekt\u0105. Jos teigimu, \u0161i\u0173 veiksni\u0173 derinys skirtingus regionus veikia nevienodai, tod\u0117l vieno recepto visiems nebus.<\/p>\n<p>Naftos kainos, pasak jos, laikosi apie 100 JAV doleri\u0173 u\u017e barel\u012f rib\u0105, o tai yra auk\u0161\u010diau nei TVF prielaidose naudotas lygis rengiant ankstesnes prognozes. Persp\u0117jama, kad net ir greitai pasibaigus konfliktui Persijos \u012flankoje, auk\u0161t\u0173 energijos kain\u0173 problema gali u\u017esit\u0119sti.<\/p>\n<p>\u201ePatinka tai ar ne, DI jau \u010dia\u201c, \u2013 sak\u0117 Kristalina Georgieva.<\/p>\n<p>TVF skai\u010diavimais, tinkamai pritaikytas DI gal\u0117t\u0173 kasmet padidinti pasaulio ekonomikos augim\u0105 ma\u017edaug puse procentinio punkto. Ta\u010diau Georgieva pabr\u0117\u017e\u0117 ir rizikas: spartus DI infrastrukt\u016bros k\u016brimas gali b\u016bti infliacinis, o investuotoj\u0173 nusivylimas gal\u0117t\u0173 virsti pla\u010diu finansiniu sukr\u0117timu.<\/p>\n<p>Ji taip pat i\u0161skyr\u0117 gr\u0117smes darbo rinkai, kibernetiniam saugumui ir pa\u017eangi\u0173 modeli\u0173 valdymui, kai technologij\u0173 raida lenkia reguliavim\u0105 ir visuomen\u0117s pasirengim\u0105. TVF artimiausiu metu ketina paskelbti atnaujintas pasaulio ekonomikos prognozes, kurios bus pristatytos per susitikimus Bankoke.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>TVF vadov\u0117 K. Georgieva persp\u0117ja: pig\u016bs pinigai baig\u0117si, skolos na\u0161ta art\u0117ja prie 100 proc. BVP, o DI investicij\u0173 bumas gali pakurstyti infliacij\u0105.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":60338,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[94],"tags":[5153,102,135,15288,134,3557,46120],"miestas":[],"class_list":["post-60337","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finansai","tag-bvp","tag-dirbtinis-intelektas","tag-infliacija","tag-kristalina-georgieva","tag-palukanu-normos","tag-tarptautinis-valiutos-fondas","tag-valstybiu-skola"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60337","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=60337"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60337\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/60338"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=60337"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=60337"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=60337"},{"taxonomy":"miestas","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cp.snarskis.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/miestas?post=60337"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}